Click on a link below to read an issue online, or to download it.
We use a number of frameworks to guide the information search, analysis, and synthesis processes that lead to our forecast conclusions. Every month, we publish the latest additions to the Index Investor's evidence file, which we use to inform updates to our forecasts. In our methodology, new information is valuable insofar as it provides an updated indicator of how close we are to a critical threshold, or it is surprising and causes us to question the structure of our overall system model (e.g., the existence of another critical threshold we should monitor, or the range of possible outcomes for a key uncertainty).
To provide subscribers with a longer perspective on significant technological, economic, environmental, cyber, health, national security, social, political, and financial system developments, as well as their longer-term dynamics and trajectories, the
Cumulative Evidence File section of our website presents high value information we have published, arranged chronologically by subject.
You can also visit a page with
all the feature articles we have published.First Quarter 2022
December/January 2022
October/November 2021
September 2021
August 2021
July 2021
June 2021
May 2021
April 2021
March 2021
February 2021
January 2021
December 2020
November 2020
October 2020
September 2020
August 2020
July 2020
June 2020
May 2020
April 2020
March 2020
February 2020
January 2020December 2019November 2019
October 2019September 2019
August 2019
July 2019
June 2019
May 2019April 2019
March 2019February 2019January 2019
December 2018
November 2018October 2018September 2018
August 2018